Blues’ push to reach the Championship playoffs seems to go on and off. After a hard fought 1-0 home win over top of the table Hull City, it was certainly on. After a disappointing and frustrating 2-0 loss at Blackburn in mid-week, the Twitter pundits declared it off again.
As it stands, Blues are five back of Sheffield Wednesday with two games in hand on the Owls. That’s not insurmountable by any stretch. The games in hand are especially important, free points for Blues to pick up (if they can get them of course). One of those extra games is tomorrow in a derby fixture at Wolverhampton. Win, Blues are two back with a game in hand still. Lose or draw, and the road gets much tougher but not impossible. With 11 league games left to go, Blues need to take care of their own business.
All of the teams they are battling — Ipswich, Cardiff and Wednesday — have dropped points. They will likely all continue to drop points here and there. But at the end of the day, Blues need to win and put themselves in a position to succeed. An away match against Wolves will certainly be a tough game. But the following two games are great opportunities for points against Fulham and Charlton, the former in a relegation battle and the latter already preparing for life in League One. If Blues can come up with 7 or 9 points from those three, they’ll be well in the hunt. Right now, the final playoff places are still up for grabs.
Via Sports Club Stats, here are the probabilities the teams in hunt will make the playoffs, updated for Saturday’s games (assuming Hull, Burnley, Brighton, and Boro are shoo-ins):
- Derby – 76%
- Wednesday – 66%
- Cardiff – 23%
- Ipswich – 17%
- Blues – 20%
Wednesday have the advantage at the moment and are favored but 66% is certainly no guarantee, and Derby County aren’t out of the woods yet, either. Blues have 10 games left after tomorrow’s derby, and the final playoff spot is still up for contention. Can they grab it?